Indiamart buying back its stock at a 37% premium over market price. A fun read to understand why

lilly159

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If you’re the founder of a company, there are a few ways you can get some money out from the company’s bank account into your own bank account.

You can draw a higher salary or bonus. You’re presumably still an employee; CEO, director, chairman, whatever. So you can just pay yourself a higher salary. The problem with this is that you’d then also be taxed like an employee. 30–40% of whatever you pay would go to the government as tax. [1]

But as a founder, you’re not just an employee, but also likely a large shareholder. If a company wants to pay its shareholders, it can either (1) issue a dividend, or (2) buy back stock. Dividend is taxed just like salary, so that’s out. But option (2) is interesting. You’re selling stock in a buyback! You pay no tax. [2]

Now if a company wants to run a stock buyback, it must also decide at what price it wants to buy this stock. The usual figure is around 10–15% more than the market price of the stock. Sometimes a bit more if the company’s had a great year and is feeling generous. But it’s in the same ballpark.

The company is buying stock, so its goal—like any buyer—is to buy at a price that’s as low as possible, but still high enough for investors to want to sell their stock to the company in the first place. The lower the price at which the company buys back its stock, the more stock it can buy, and the more valuable the remaining shares become for the shareholders that don’t sell. But if you’re the founder and your plan is to sell stock in the buyback, you want your company to pay as much as possible for your stock.

Last week, ecommerce company Indiamart announced a stock buyback. The company will be buying back stock worth ₹500 crore ($62 million) at ₹4,000 ($48) per share. This is 37% more than its around ₹2,900 ($35) share price at the time of announcement. Indiamart also disclosed that its founders might be selling some stock in this buyback.

Well, of course! The only reason for a company to price its buyback almost 40% more than market price is so that its founders can get a good price for their shares.

Been there, done that​


If a company decides to buy back its stock at 40% over market price, the natural thing for investors to do is want to sell their stock to the company. But of course, the company can’t buy back all the stock. This is how it goes:
  1. Company decides to buy back a fixed number of shares (at a fixed price). [3]
  2. People apply to sell their shares.
  3. If people have applied to sell more stock than the company plans to buy, it has to buy shares from each shareholder proportionate to the total shares they own. [4]
Since Indiamart is going to overpay for its stock, there’s no doubt that there will be an overabundance of investors willing to sell. It’s the rational thing to do. Eventually, they’ll only be able to sell a fixed percentage of the total stock they offer to sell. Whoever owns the most can sell the most.

Indiamart’s founders—Dinesh Agarwal and Brijesh Agrawal—along with others from the Agarwal and Agrawal families, own about 49.22% of Indiamart’s stock. The largest chunk! Indiamart has said that it will buy back 12,50,000 shares. Now, SEBI mandates that 15% of any buyback be reserved for small retail investors who don’t own too much stock (oh cute Robin Hood you, SEBI). That leaves 10,62,500 shares for everyone else. Assuming the founders go for goal here, they’ll sell at least 48.22% of the 10,62,500 shares which Indiamart ends up buying.

This isn’t even the first time Agarwal and Agrawal are using the buyback route to make some money. They did exactly this last year, just with a smaller amount of money. This year Indiamart’s buying ₹500 crore of stock, last year it had bought ₹100 crore, at a similar 36–37% markup over market price. Of this ₹100 crore, 42.12% went to Agarwal and Agrawal. Or 49.56% of ₹85 crore if you disregard the 15% reserved for small investors. [5]

See, there’s nothing particularly wrong with what Agarwal and Agrawal are doing. There’s no upper limit to the price at which a company can buy back its stock. Though I wonder what would happen if Indiamart took this into bizarre territory. What if, instead of a puny 40% premium over market price, the company decided to buy stock at.. ₹500 crore per share? If this were to happen—and I don’t see why it couldn’t if everyone at the board meeting managed to keep a straight face and approve it—investors would apply to sell their stock and Indiamart would say “hmmm everyone wants to sell their shares but oh no we can only afford to buy 1 share because it’s so expensive.” And of course that 1 share would be the founders’ share because they own the largest chunk of stock. I mean, sure, SEBI would probably not let this through, but I promise you they’d struggle to find an actual rule to cite while saying no.

Footnotes

[1] Salaries are expenses, and expenses are super tax efficient for the company. More expenses mean less profit. Less profit equals less tax.

[2] The company does pay a ~20% buyback tax, so the government gets about the same money no matter what.

[3] The share price or even the number of shares isn’t always fixed. I wrote late last year about Paytm’s buyback where it had only decided a maximum price and was buying stock from the market directly. SEBI doesn’t like this type of buyback though and is phasing it out.

[4] For instance, let’s say a company wants to buy 100 shares and receives two bids both greater than 100. The first shareholder owns 1000 shares, the second investor owns 500 shares. Which means the company has to buy 6.66% of their combined total shares (100 out of 1500). So the company will buy 66 shares from the first shareholder (6.66% of 1000) and 33 shares from the second shareholder (6.66% of 500). The buyback process gives a higher preference to larger shareholders.

[5] Thanks to Chandragupta over at ValuePickr for helping me figure this calculation.

Original Source: https://boringmoney.in/p/indiamart-is-overpaying-buyback
 
@lilly159 Amazing article, I don't like newsletters much as people in the new generation like me, typically don't pay attention to stuff on email(not the best practice). I thank you for putting it in my reddit fees!
 
@lilly159 Oh that seems amazing! I will subscribe via WhatsApp for sure. I understand it would stop for reddit and I understand that. Thanks for the efforts. Also thx for the zero spam promise!
 
TLDR:
  1. Founders have three options to take money out from their company: pay themselves a salary, issue a dividend, run a buyback
  2. Of these, buybacks are the most tax efficient for the receiver of the money (salaries would be tax efficient for the company)
  3. Since the buyback price is high, it's bound to be oversubscribed
  4. The way oversubscriptions work is that the buyback is allotted on a proportionate basis to all shareholders who apply to sell. If you own more shares, you get to sell more shares in the buyback
  5. Indiamart's founders own 49% of the shares, hence the benefit of the buyback goes largely to them. They had run a similar buyback last year and sold most of the shares Indiamart bought in its buyback last year
  6. This is a break from convention, but wonder how far a company can take such an exercise
 
@lilly159 I never understood India mart, there are somethings I want to buy outside my city in north India, but I have buy them in bulk and have to ask for quotation, it never made sense to me, why can't I just buy the things I want like any other e commerce website. Why is it so confusing.
 
@brobrad It’s not for regular people, it’s for companies who buy in bulk and get a below market price for the bulk quantity. Think of them as a wholesaler. But I’ve seen singular equipment also sold, usually industrial equipment
 
@lilly159 You are essentially saying that this allows 'bigger' shareholders to profit at the expense of smaller shareholders. I don't understand this argument at all.

If bigger shareholders hold ~ 50% (for ex) - yes, stand to gain the most from sales being bought back at a premium. But at the same time, they are also losing the most when the value of the (remaining) shares falls due to this buyback. Remember - they still hold ~50% of the company! There is no net benefit - this is simple maths.

The only way they would be net better off is if they manage to sell more than 50% of the shares in the buy-back - ie, if the buy-back was silently done before the other investors had time to bid for the buyback. But that would be illegal (I think).
 
@redeemedtomanhood No, that's not what I'm saying. All I've said is that they priced the buyback higher than usual so that they can make more money than they usually would. I haven't said that it's at the expense of smaller shareholders. Retail shareholders anyway have a separate quota.

The only question I've answered is -- "Why is the buyback being done at a price that's so much more than market price". That's it. Don't read into it anymore. My only point is that had the promoters not been participating, the buyback price would've been more closer to market price.
 
@lilly159
All I've said is that they priced the buyback higher than usual so that they can make more money than they usually would.

How are they making more money? They would make exactly the same money if (for ex) the company bought back 100 shares at Rs 50 each, or or 50 shares at Rs 100 each. They would still get 50% = 2500.

Nothing that you have written provides any rationale for why they would get more money.
 
@redeemedtomanhood Let's say I own 10 shares, and the buyback is priced at Rs 100 and the total money that the company wants to spend in the buyback is Rs 500. I can then sell 5 shares and get Rs 500. I have 5 shares remaining.

Now, if the buyback were to be priced at, say, Rs 80, I would need to sell 6.25 shares to get the same Rs 500. Now I only have 3.75 shares remaining (which I can potentially share at the market price).

Hence, if the buyback is priced higher, I, as a seller, can make more money.
 
@lilly159 No, this argument is wrong. You are assuming that the market price of remaining shares will be the same, regardless of the price of buyback, which is totally incorrect.

(Otherwise you have essentially described a money-making machine where every shareholder is magically better off, and the govt also gets the same taxes!)

What will happen instead is that if I price the buyback higher, the market value of the remaining shares will fall, and the net worth of the individual will be unaffected by the price of buyback. This is simple Maths. You can see the example I gave in response to the other comment on this thread.
 
@redeemedtomanhood I understand your argument. You're arguing that since the company is giving out "more" money, its cash balance will go down, and hence, the value of the remaining shares will go down.

But that's not how market pricing works. Shares going up and down is a combination of the value of assets, perception of growth, general perception, etc. Post the announcement of the buyback, the share price actually went up.

Yes, if the founders were doing this with larger amounts, it wouldn't work (not a money making machine, like you said). But with small amounts like 500 crore, other factors (apart from the raw value of assets) more than compensate for whatever theoretical asset value the shares might have lost.
 
@lilly159
But with small amounts like 500 crore, other factors (apart from the raw value of assets) more than compensate ...

If this were true, you have again described a money making machine which magically creates Rs 500 Cr out of nowhere. Calling 500 Cr a 'small' amount does not change that fact at all.

Yes, share price is a mathematical sum of current assets and discounted future earnings of the company. Buybacks at high prices reduce the former but do not change the latter. Therefore the only reasons why share prices would not fall after the conclusion of the buyback at significantly higher prices are:
  1. If the shares were underpriced to begin with (ie, the sum of current assets + discounted future earnings > share_price * no of outstanding shares), with equality at or above the buyback price
  2. Gullible investors get ensnared by the 'houwa' around the buyback and prop up the share price. This however will be very short-lived and the share price will soon fall by the proportionate amount given out due to the buyback.
 
@denisovic Haha...yes, share markets can be very random.

If OP was assuming a large random component to market value, it would not be too bad. But OP is not assuming random variation in his latest comment - he is assuming positive variation, to the amount of at least Rs 500 Cr. IE, the buyback, just by itself, generates Rs 500 Cr+ for the company, which is, frankly, absurd.
 

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