@macheath Not advising one way or the other, but one thing about BlackRock is that they’ve been seeing outflows in some of their funds on both sides of the same reason. They’ve really set themselves up as the big ESG fund family. On one end, pension funds have been pulling out saying that their ESG focus is losing them returns, and that their duty is to fund the retirement of their beneficiaries, and not to Larry Fink’s personal views. On the exact other hand, there have been endowments and foundations pulling out saying that they want to divest from some industries that BlackRock still has in their funds, namely some oil companies…
I really have no idea if this will impact them much, but I do think that they are starting to tie themselves with the concept of ESG as factor investing, and the trajectory of that factor being in IPSs could affect them. If it becomes huge, they’re setting up for it, if it loses steam, well, people will look for better returns elsewhere.
They have a long and solid run and really got huge when ETFs got big. A shift away from passive investment would be a major blow to them if that were to happen. If people all got back into active management then that would certainly eat at them until they could pivot.
How either of those trends will go, I don’t know. How the company will respond to either, I don’t know. But, these have definitely been things BlackRock has been setting themselves up for for a while now, and think they’re worthwhile macro trend considerations.