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    CoreLogic Home Value Index: National home values up 0.6% in March, breaking a 10-month streak of falls - March 2023

    @johny111 With respect, without seeing the inputs whoever this is used I can't comment on their values. From what I can see at the moment this is just a random graph from an unknown source with unknown input variables being used to calculate the Taylor rule. If I comment on this graph, you...
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    Some quick maths on the effect of interest rates on house prices, supporting a forecast 10-15% drop in prices

    @jesuslover07 My bad. Was reading everything the wrong way. Sorry. Out of curiosity? Do you know why everyone relies so heavily on a non-seasonally adjusted metric?
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    Some quick maths on the effect of interest rates on house prices, supporting a forecast 10-15% drop in prices

    @jesuslover07 We are still .3% away from a -1.2% drop. Australia doesn't just exist in Melbourne and Sydney.
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    CoreLogic Home Value Index: National home values up 0.6% in March, breaking a 10-month streak of falls - March 2023

    @johny111 I'm guessing you haven't actually run the formula for this rule. When I run the formula I get absolutely nowhere near 10-11%. In fact I get a range from 5-6%.
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    CoreLogic Home Value Index: National home values up 0.6% in March, breaking a 10-month streak of falls - March 2023

    @johny111 LOL, in what theory?
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    US CPI 7.1% YoY vs 7.3% expected, 0.1% MoM vs 0.3% expected

    @masterduckie You can't really extrapolate seasonally adjusted figures like that. In reality, Dec, Jan and Jun are the historically highest seasonally adjusted CPI rates in the USA. I'm not arguing that things are starting to look under control, all things being equal. Just that it isn't as...
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    Hike slowdown coming: Market still expecting 50bps for October, but slowing to 25bps in Nov and Dec

    @jesuslover07 This is the same data that had the terminal rate at 4.35% just last week isn't it? And 3.5% about a month ago?
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    It's ridiculous that some people consider economics a "science"

    @supercow What a long-winded way of saying you don't understand what science is.
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