Search results

@vicenzo My first was to actually pick a random point in history and then replayed that for my modelled lifetime. I felt this would give more realistic results as it would more accurately model the boom / bust cycle and the usual inverse correlation between equities and bonds. However the...

Data was from here https://people.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/pc/datasets/histretSP.xls

@ecsid I don’t believe it is perfectly normal but is a reasonable approximation to normal. This is the beauty of Monte Carlo; it smooths out extremes I’m out at the moment but happy to post the source of the raw performance data when i get back

I've found a formula for Brownian motion... I've found something that suggests using random.gauss as an approximation to Brownian motion. I'll have a look at that.

@trishn40 I'll explore brownian motion. Hopefully there is a Python library for that!

@adviceplease Small claims court

I'll start by saying I'm not a Python expert - just a dabbler so there is probably a far better way to do this... Background I'm 100% in equities at the moment, but approaching that final 1/3 of my investing life. I've started to think about my 'transition to bonds' plan and what this might...

@zumbafanforever Live on 36500 a year? Are you mad?