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@resjudicata The Little Book of Common Sense Investing by John Bogle of Vanguard explains and documents this quite well. It also makes intuitive sense: The market is going to return a specific return per year. If you beat the market, by definition, someone else underperformed. In practice...

@fryn Nice post, it's a great idea to have a clear process. Since we're in personal finance, I would add though that for the vast majority of individual investors, actively making investment decisions is a losing game. And even if you see a positive return (as one would in the current market)...