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@rettatzkie 5 years pretty meh, but 10-15 years is pretty accurate. For example, you can read this paper.

@coglig I think the forecast is a bit better than what he's saying, probably 2-3% annual nominal returns on SP500. However you should be able to get 7% on Australian and emerging markets. Property will do well as well.

@praywithfaith I'm talking about 2021 to 2031 not the past 10 years. Long term relationship between discount rates and stock market is well documented.

@geeki SP500. I'm a long term investor who make decisions based on fundamentals. SP500 will likely have very poor 10 year return based on discount rate, but there's a good chance NASDAQ will actually lose value over a 10 year period.

@resjudicata A few have structural issues, predominantly in Sydney, due to high profit margins there on new builds and tons of inexperienced phoenix builders. In other cities, this tends to not be that much of an issue, especially if you did research on the developer / builder.

@redcyc 100% this, especially with a paradigm shift in growth assets being somewhat unjustifiable by valuation, why not take the 6-8% yield and positively gear a free unit with massive tax benefits?

@johnchristianforum If I'm dead who cares who gets my leftovers?